‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026
TEX @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026
TEX
Texas Rangers
3–6
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, L To R
Jacob deGrom · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-185
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-163
FANFanatics+125-180
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)9.4%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)9.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)10.0%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)11.9%2.7 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)11.2%2.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)14.2%2.0 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)10.4%2.0 PA
9Carlos Narváez (R)10.0%2.0 PA
Ranger Suarez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+125
DKDraftKings-169+127
We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Wyatt Langford (R)12.4%3.0 PA
2Justin Foscue (R)13.2%3.0 PA
3Josh Jung (R)12.7%3.0 PA
4Ezequiel Duran (R)11.2%3.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)12.4%2.4 PA
6Cody Freeman (R)11.6%2.0 PA
7Michael Helman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Elias Díaz (R)11.3%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)10.6%2.0 PA