MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026

COL @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
57
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Las Vegas BallparkCenter Field 415 ft 102°F ClearWind 7 mph, Out To RF

COL Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 3.0 ER vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Colby Thomas (R)13.1%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)14.5%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)17.8%3.0 PA
4Jonah Heim (R)15.0%3.0 PA
5Jacob Wilson (R)10.8%3.0 PA
6Henry Bolte (R)14.0%2.1 PA
7Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Max Muncy (R)13.6%2.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)10.8%2.0 PA

ATH Joey Estes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-120
DKDraftKings-106-125

We project 2.8 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Edouard Julien (L)12.5%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)12.2%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)15.6%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)12.4%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Kyle Karros (R)12.2%2.0 PA
8Brett Sullivan (L)10.7%2.0 PA
9Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA