MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026

AZ @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
53
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 79°F CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To LF

AZ Zac Gallen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
BOVBovada-145+105

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)10.4%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)13.1%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)10.8%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)9.4%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)9.7%3.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)10.0%2.7 PA
7Matt McLain (R)12.0%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)9.5%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA

CIN Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
BOVBovada-150+110
FANFanatics-165+115

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)14.7%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)14.1%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)12.2%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (R)13.4%3.0 PA
6Geraldo Perdomo (R)10.6%2.5 PA
7Jordan Lawlar (R)12.4%2.0 PA
8LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)14.6%2.0 PA