MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026

TEX @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
64
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 81°F OvercastWind 12 mph, Out To LF

TEX Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.8 BF

Expected batters faced25.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-110
DKDraftKings-149+112

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Masataka Yoshida (L)10.0%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.1%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.5%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)12.1%3.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)10.9%3.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)13.9%3.0 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)10.2%2.8 PA
9Carlos Narváez (R)9.8%2.0 PA

BOS Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Wyatt Langford (R)11.8%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)13.1%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)10.2%3.0 PA
4Ezequiel Duran (R)10.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.9%3.0 PA
6Justin Foscue (R)12.8%2.8 PA
7Cody Freeman (R)11.2%2.0 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)12.1%2.0 PA
9Alejandro Osuna (L)11.3%2.0 PA