MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

KC @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
46
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 78°F ClearWind 7 mph, Out To RF

KC Michael Wacha · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
DKDraftKings-140+106

We project 3.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)18.5%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)13.2%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)12.3%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)15.9%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.5%3.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)14.4%3.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)12.4%3.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.2%2.2 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)10.0%2.0 PA

WSH Foster Griffin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-125
DKDraftKings-104-127
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)9.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.0%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)11.4%3.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)13.6%3.0 PA
5Starling Marte (R)9.5%3.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)11.8%2.0 PA
7Nick Loftin (R)10.0%2.0 PA
8Tyler Tolbert (R)10.7%2.0 PA
9Kameron Misner (L)11.1%2.0 PA