‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
PIT @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
6–5
Final
ATH
Athletics
◆ Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft☀ 85°F ClearWind 10 mph, Out To CF
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.7 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Kurtz (L)15.2%3.0 PA
2Shea Langeliers (R)11.6%3.0 PA
3Tyler Soderstrom (L)12.1%3.0 PA
4Jacob Wilson (R)12.1%3.0 PA
5Carlos Cortes (L)10.3%3.0 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)13.9%2.7 PA
7Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Henry Bolte (R)7.1%2.0 PA
9Jeff McNeil (L)8.4%2.0 PA
Jack Perkins · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.6 BF
Expected batters faced14.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
DKDraftKings-121-110
We project 1.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.2%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.7%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)13.8%2.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)13.6%2.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)13.0%1.6 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)14.3%1.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%1.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)9.6%1.0 PA