‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
BAL @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
5–3
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 73°F ClearWind 5 mph, L To R
Kyle Bradish · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
DKDraftKings+118-157
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)12.3%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Dominic Canzone (L)14.6%3.0 PA
5Cole Young (L)11.5%3.0 PA
6Victor Robles (R)12.2%2.3 PA
7Colt Emerson (L)14.2%2.0 PA
8Connor Joe (R)9.9%2.0 PA
9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)10.2%2.0 PA
George Kirby · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-185+125
DKDraftKings-160+120
FANFanatics-180+125
We project 3.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)13.9%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)14.0%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)13.1%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)15.3%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)13.4%3.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)12.7%3.0 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)10.5%2.2 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)12.7%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)12.4%2.0 PA