‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 18, 2026
MIN @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
9–3
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Joe Ryan · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+128-170
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)9.6%3.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)10.0%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)11.8%2.4 PA
6Josh Smith (L)9.7%2.0 PA
7Jake Burger (R)10.4%2.0 PA
8Alejandro Osuna (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Kyle Higashioka (R)10.9%2.0 PA
Jack Leiter · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-128
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)13.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)17.1%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)15.0%3.0 PA
4Royce Lewis (R)10.1%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (L)12.5%3.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)11.3%3.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)8.8%2.2 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)9.3%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)12.0%2.0 PA