‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 18, 2026
BAL @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
0–3
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 72°F SunnyWind 11 mph, L To R
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)12.8%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)11.4%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Dominic Canzone (L)13.6%3.0 PA
5Cole Young (L)10.9%3.0 PA
6Colt Emerson (L)14.3%3.0 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)11.5%2.9 PA
8Victor Robles (R)11.9%2.0 PA
9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)11.2%2.0 PA
Bryan Woo · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-185
DKDraftKings+128-170
We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)14.0%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)13.5%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)12.5%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)14.4%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)12.8%3.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)12.7%2.4 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)13.3%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)11.9%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)12.5%2.0 PA