CHC @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

1–12

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 79°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF

Jordan Wicks · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate29.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB28.9%

vs RHB27.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOVBovada-115-125

DKDraftKings-116-114

FANFanatics-110-130

We project 6.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Konnor Griffin (R)24.0%3.0 PA

2Jared Triolo (R)23.4%3.0 PA

3Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.4%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)21.9%3.0 PA

5Jake Mangum (R)24.4%3.0 PA

6Marcell Ozuna (R)20.8%2.0 PA

7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0 PA

8Spencer Horwitz (L)19.9%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)19.3%2.0 PA

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB18.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin Alcántara (R)23.0%3.0 PA

2Nico Hoerner (R)20.9%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)21.2%3.0 PA

4Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%3.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)19.2%3.0 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)19.5%2.4 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.5%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)24.0%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)19.4%2.0 PA