MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CIN @ NYM Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
72
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 72°F CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To LF

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB18.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-155

We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)22.8%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)21.3%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)25.5%3.0 PA
4A.J. Ewing (L)23.5%3.0 PA
5Mark Vientos (R)20.1%3.0 PA
6Eric Wagaman (R)22.3%2.0 PA
7Marcus Semien (R)20.2%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)19.0%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)19.9%2.0 PA

NYM David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.2 BF

Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-147+111
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)23.5%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (R)24.2%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)21.1%2.2 PA
4Spencer Steer (R)26.2%2.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)20.3%2.0 PA
6Dane Myers (R)21.2%2.0 PA
7JJ Bleday (L)22.6%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)19.8%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)20.5%2.0 PA