MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

ATL @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
76
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

ATL Spencer Strider · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-122-109

We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)19.8%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.4%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.0%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.2%2.6 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)23.1%2.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)23.3%2.0 PA
7Nick Sogard (L)22.4%2.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)23.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.0%2.0 PA

BOS Ranger Suarez · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)19.3%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)23.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)23.1%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)23.6%2.5 PA
5Austin Riley (R)21.7%2.0 PA
6Mike Yastrzemski (L)20.3%2.0 PA
7Michael Harris II (L)22.4%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.8%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)23.2%2.0 PA