KC @ CIN Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 1, 2026

Kansas City Royals

9–2

Final

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 74°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, L To R

Luinder Avila · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.9%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload11.9 BF

Expected batters faced11.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

FANFanatics+130-185

We project 2.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Will Benson (L)19.1%2.0 PA

2JJ Bleday (L)21.4%2.0 PA

3Sal Stewart (R)23.6%1.9 PA

4Eugenio Suárez (R)20.3%1.0 PA

5Nathaniel Lowe (L)25.4%1.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)22.8%1.0 PA

7Tyler Stephenson (R)20.9%1.0 PA

8Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%1.0 PA

9Matt McLain (R)18.1%1.0 PA

Lyon Richardson · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.0 BF

Expected batters faced18.0

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carter Jensen (L)19.8%2.0 PA

2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.6%2.0 PA

3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.0%2.0 PA

4Jac Caglianone (L)21.0%2.0 PA

5Isaac Collins (L)20.0%2.0 PA

6Lane Thomas (R)19.1%2.0 PA

7Michael Massey (L)22.8%2.0 PA

8Nick Loftin (R)19.0%2.0 PA

9Kyle Isbel (L)23.5%2.0 PA