‹ Hits Allowed · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
CIN @ SD Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
5–3
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 7 mph, Varies
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+121-162
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.6%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)19.5%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)17.8%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)20.6%3.0 PA
5Ty France (R)21.2%3.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)23.8%2.1 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)18.5%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)21.0%2.0 PA
Lucas Giolito · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.6 BF
Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-127
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)24.6%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)22.9%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)22.9%2.6 PA
4Dane Myers (R)22.5%2.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)21.3%2.0 PA
6Will Benson (L)22.5%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)21.1%2.0 PA
8P.J. Higgins (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0 PA