‹ Hits Allowed · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
MIA @ PHI Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
2–8
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 78°F ClearWind 8 mph, Out To CF
Tyler Phillips · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.6 BF
Expected batters faced16.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-135+102
We project 3.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%2.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)20.3%2.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)22.3%2.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)22.1%2.0 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.0 PA
6J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)22.4%1.6 PA
9Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%1.0 PA
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-166+124
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (R)24.2%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)30.0%3.0 PA
3Liam Hicks (L)18.7%3.0 PA
4Heriberto Hernández (R)22.3%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)22.8%3.0 PA
6Leo Jiménez (R)20.0%2.6 PA
7Esteury Ruiz (R)21.8%2.0 PA
8Jakob Marsee (L)18.5%2.0 PA
9Connor Norby (R)18.7%2.0 PA