MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

LAA @ AZ Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

LAA
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
70
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 77°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

LAA Reid Detmers · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+114-152
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)24.0%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)27.0%3.0 PA
4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)23.5%3.0 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)21.2%3.0 PA
6Ildemaro Vargas (R)23.9%2.5 PA
7Jordan Lawlar (R)22.1%2.0 PA
8Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.1%2.0 PA
9LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0 PA

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-113

We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)20.3%3.0 PA
2Mike Trout (R)18.3%3.0 PA
3Nolan Schanuel (L)23.2%3.0 PA
4Jo Adell (R)21.6%3.0 PA
5Nick Madrigal (R)25.6%3.0 PA
6Wade Meckler (L)25.9%3.0 PA
7Denzer Guzman (R)23.8%3.0 PA
8Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.7%2.2 PA
9Donovan Walton (L)24.3%2.0 PA