‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
SD @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
vs
2:20 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Walker Buehler · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)20.8%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)22.9%3.0 PA
4Carson Kelly (R)21.9%2.7 PA
5Michael Busch (L)19.2%2.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)20.6%2.0 PA
7Ian Happ (L)20.8%2.0 PA
8Dansby Swanson (R)19.4%2.0 PA
9Kevin Alcántara (R)21.4%2.0 PA
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.0%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)23.0%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)19.3%3.0 PA
4Miguel Andujar (R)23.3%3.0 PA
5Ty France (R)21.8%3.0 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)20.2%2.0 PA
7Xander Bogaerts (R)21.2%2.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)17.3%2.0 PA