MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits Allowed · Thursday, July 2, 2026

MIA @ COL Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, July 2, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
3:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

MIA Ryan Gusto · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB26.8%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.8 BF

Expected batters faced16.8
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)24.3%2.0 PA
2Mickey Moniak (L)24.7%2.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)23.2%2.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)25.6%2.0 PA
5Willi Castro (L)20.9%2.0 PA
6Tyler Freeman (R)23.3%2.0 PA
7Troy Johnston (L)27.2%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)21.2%1.8 PA
9Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.2%1.0 PA

COL Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB26.1%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Otto Lopez (R)25.8%3.0 PA
2Esteury Ruiz (R)22.8%3.0 PA
3Liam Hicks (L)23.5%3.0 PA
4Heriberto Hernández (R)21.7%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)24.3%2.6 PA
6Kyle Stowers (L)23.2%2.0 PA
7Leo Jiménez (R)19.7%2.0 PA
8Brian Navarreto (R)20.6%2.0 PA
9Owen Caissie (L)22.0%2.0 PA