MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits Allowed · Friday, July 3, 2026

PIT @ WSH Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
6:45 PM EDT
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)22.5%3.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)22.5%3.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Dylan Crews (R)22.5%3.0 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)22.5%3.0 PA
6Jacob Young (R)22.5%2.7 PA
7Jorbit Vivas (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Nasim Nuñez (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Drew Millas (L)22.5%2.0 PA

WSH Foster Griffin · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB17.4%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jake Mangum (R)24.8%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)19.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)23.6%3.0 PA
4Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.5%3.0 PA
6Nick Gonzales (R)23.7%2.3 PA
7Marcell Ozuna (R)20.1%2.0 PA
8Endy Rodríguez (R)18.1%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)23.5%2.0 PA