MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits Allowed · Friday, July 3, 2026

BAL @ CIN Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

BAL Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (R)23.3%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)24.0%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)22.7%3.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)19.9%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)17.3%2.9 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)20.4%2.0 PA
7Edwin Arroyo (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)19.3%2.0 PA
9TJ Friedl (L)20.2%2.0 PA

CIN Brady Singer · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gunnar Henderson (L)22.5%3.0 PA
2Adley Rutschman (L)22.5%3.0 PA
3Taylor Ward (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)22.5%3.0 PA
5Coby Mayo (R)22.5%2.2 PA
6Tyler O'Neill (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Leody Taveras (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)22.5%2.0 PA