Best MLB outs recorded matchups — Thursday, May 21, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, May 21, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP). His recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. Results show how each call played out.
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+125
BOLBetOnline-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
FDFanDuel-158+118
CZRCaesars-159+119
We project 18.1 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload17.8 outs
Innings (IP)5.9
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-185+130
BOLBetOnline-170+130
BRBetRivers-180—
FANFanatics-185+130
CZRCaesars-190+140
We project 17.8 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload17.6 outs
Innings (IP)5.9
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 18.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
BRBetRivers+123—
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
FANFanatics+140-200
FDFanDuel+120-162
CZRCaesars+125-170
We project 17.6 outs vs the 18.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload17.6 outs
Innings (IP)5.9
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
BOLBetOnline-140+100
BRBetRivers-139—
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-150+105
FDFanDuel-154+116
CZRCaesars-145+109
We project 17.6 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload17.3 outs
Innings (IP)5.8
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
BOLBetOnline-140+100
BRBetRivers-130—
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-104
FDFanDuel-128-104
CZRCaesars-137+104
We project 17.3 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload17.0 outs
Innings (IP)5.7
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
BOLBetOnline-130-110
BRBetRivers-150—
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-137+103
FANFanatics-140+100
FDFanDuel-125-106
CZRCaesars-130-102
We project 17.0 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload16.2 outs
Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts7
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 16.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
BOLBetOnline-130-110
BRBetRivers-117—
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-113-118
FDFanDuel-114-114
CZRCaesars-118-113
We project 16.2 outs vs the 16.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload15.9 outs
Innings (IP)5.3
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 15.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-143
FANFanatics+105-150
FDFanDuel+100-136
CZRCaesars+104-139
We project 15.9 outs vs the 15.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload15.8 outs
Innings (IP)5.3
From recent starts3
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 16.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
BOLBetOnline-130-110
BRBetRivers-114—
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FDFanDuel-118-114
CZRCaesars-122-109
We project 15.8 outs vs the 16.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload15.0 outs
Innings (IP)5
From recent starts2
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 16.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOLBetOnline-115-125
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-129
FANFanatics-110-130
CZRCaesars-120-111
We project 15.0 outs vs the 16.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload14.7 outs
Innings (IP)4.9
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Projected Workload13.8 outs
Innings (IP)4.6
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Projected Workload10.3 outs
Innings (IP)3.4
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 11.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-125
CZRCaesars-107-128
We project 10.3 outs vs the 11.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Projected Workload7.0 outs
Innings (IP)2.3
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
14 with a outsLive count — updates as games play
1
Braxton AshcraftP
PIT@STL· proj #1
21outsFinal
T1
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZvsCOL· proj #2
21outsFinal
T1
Luis SeverinoP
ATH@LAA· proj #5
21outsFinal
T1
Cade CavalliP
WSHvsNYM· proj #11
21outsFinal
5
José SorianoP
LAAvsATH· proj #4
20outsFinal
T5
Casey MizeP
DETvsCLE· proj #7
20outsFinal
7
Spencer StriderP
ATL@MIA· proj #9
19outsFinal
8
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIAvsATL· proj #3
18outsFinal
9
Joey CantilloP
CLE@DET· proj #8
17outsFinal
10
Dustin MayP
STLvsPIT· proj #6
16outsFinal
11
Carlos RodónP
NYYvsTOR· proj #10
15outsFinal
T11
David PetersonP
NYM@WSH· proj #12
15outsFinal
T11
Zach AgnosP
COL@AZ· proj #13
15outsFinal
14
Braydon FisherP
TOR@NYY· proj #14
4outsFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
4/580%
season 51%+29 pts-9% ROI
Top 10
7/1070%
season 50%+20 pts-9% ROI
Top 20
7/1164%
season building
Top 50
7/1164%
season building
Full slate
7/1164%
season 51%+13 pts-6% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Outs Recorded Matchups — Thursday, May 21, 2026
Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) is the top outs recorded spot on the Thursday, May 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 18.1 outs, with Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ) right behind. Every starter is ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP) — his recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) tops the Thursday, May 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 18.1 outs vs STL. His recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching.
The rest of the top of the board
Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ) (98) — about 17.8 outs vs COL.
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) (96) — about 17.6 outs vs ATL.
José Soriano (LAA) (96) — about 17.6 outs vs ATH.
Luis Severino (ATH) (93) — about 17.3 outs vs LAA.
Dustin May (STL) (90) — about 17.0 outs vs PIT.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 18.8 outs. Braxton Ashcraft finished with 21. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the outs recorded board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP) — his recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. We project a outs (IP) count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best outs recorded matchup today (Thursday, May 21, 2026)?
Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 18.1 outs against STL.
What are the best pitcher outs (IP) props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, May 21, 2026: Braxton Ashcraft (~18.1 outs), Eduardo Rodriguez (~17.8 outs), Sandy Alcantara (~17.6 outs), José Soriano (~17.6 outs), Luis Severino (~17.3 outs). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the outs recorded score calculated?
Ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP) — his recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected outs (IP) count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best outs (IP) spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
