MatchWiz Scores

Best MLB outs recorded matchupsSaturday, July 18, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, July 18, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP). His recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 31 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Projected Workload19.1 outs

Innings (IP)6.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Logan Webb's full player page →

Projected Workload17.6 outs

Innings (IP)5.9
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Trevor Rogers's full player page →

Projected Workload17.4 outs

Innings (IP)5.8
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Max Meyer's full player page →

Projected Workload17.2 outs

Innings (IP)5.7
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Taj Bradley's full player page →

Projected Workload16.8 outs

Innings (IP)5.6
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Tarik Skubal's full player page →

Projected Workload16.8 outs

Innings (IP)5.6
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Bryan Woo's full player page →

Projected Workload16.4 outs

Innings (IP)5.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Jesús Luzardo's full player page →

Projected Workload16.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+125
BRBetRivers-165
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
FANFanatics-170+120
FDFanDuel-158+118
CZRCaesars-164+124

We project 16.3 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Gavin Williams's full player page →

Projected Workload16.2 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

MacKenzie Gore's full player page →

Projected Workload16.1 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

J.T. Ginn's full player page →

Projected Workload15.9 outs

Innings (IP)5.3
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Shane Drohan's full player page →

Projected Workload15.8 outs

Innings (IP)5.3
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Matthew Boyd's full player page →

Projected Workload15.8 outs

Innings (IP)5.3
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Tomoyuki Sugano's full player page →

Projected Workload15.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.1
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Sean Manaea's full player page →

Projected Workload15.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.1
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Spencer Arrighetti's full player page →

Projected Workload15.1 outs

Innings (IP)5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Ryan Weathers's full player page →

Projected Workload14.7 outs

Innings (IP)4.9
From recent starts2

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Randy Dobnak's full player page →

Projected Workload14.7 outs

Innings (IP)4.9
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Dustin May's full player page →

Projected Workload14.6 outs

Innings (IP)4.9
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Davis Martin's full player page →

Projected Workload14.0 outs

Innings (IP)4.7
From recent starts1

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Patrick Sandoval's full player page →

Projected Workload13.9 outs

Innings (IP)4.6
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Zack Littell's full player page →

Projected Workload13.9 outs

Innings (IP)4.6
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Emmet Sheehan's full player page →

Projected Workload13.6 outs

Innings (IP)4.5
From recent starts4

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Shane Bieber's full player page →

Projected Workload13.6 outs

Innings (IP)4.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Ian Seymour's full player page →

Projected Workload13.5 outs

Innings (IP)4.5
From recent starts7

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Grayson Rodriguez's full player page →

Projected Workload13.5 outs

Innings (IP)4.5
From recent starts1

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Logan Allen's full player page →

Projected Workload13.3 outs

Innings (IP)4.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Outs Line · O/U 14.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-162+122
FDFanDuel-188+140
CZRCaesars-180+130

We project 13.3 outs vs the 14.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Jared Jones's full player page →

Projected Workload12.7 outs

Innings (IP)4.2
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Griffin Canning's full player page →

Projected Workload12.1 outs

Innings (IP)4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Rhett Lowder's full player page →

Projected Workload9.0 outs

Innings (IP)3
From recent starts2

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Owen Murphy's full player page →

Projected Workload8.8 outs

Innings (IP)2.9
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Brandon Pfaadt's full player page →

What the outs recorded board is

The Outs Recorded board projects how deep a starter goes — his projected outs. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His workload and recent pitch counts.
  • The matchup difficulty.
  • The game script.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Transparency board, and a key input to the team run model (how many innings the starter covers vs the bullpen).

How to use it

Useful for DFS (a starter who goes deep banks more) and as context; not a standalone edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.