MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Cleveland Guardians

Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: outs recorded at 79.7/100.

Today's top board
79.7
Outs Recorded · vs CWS
Season line · ERA
3.81
9-4 · 117 K, 1.17 WHIP
Games graded
17
this season, box-score final
Gavin Williams
PBats LThrows RCleveland Guardians
Outs Recorded79.7/100proj 17.1#5Hits Allowed73/100proj 4.4#5Fantasy Points68.9/100proj 16.6#5Strikeouts67.4/100proj 6#2Earned Runs51.9/100proj 2.8#16Walks Allowed45.9/100proj 2.2#19

Today's matchup

Gavin is hosting Chicago White Sox on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 6 of our boards — outs recorded (79.7/100, #5), hits allowed (73/100, #5), fantasy points (68.9/100, #5), strikeouts (67.4/100, #2). We project Gavin for 17.1 on the outs recorded board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Gavin struck out 6 over 5.0 innings, 2 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Gavin's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Gavin has 29 strikeouts in 25.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Gavin's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Sunday, June 28vs SEA5.06623
Monday, June 22@ CWS5.08521
Wednesday, June 17@ MIL5.04772
Monday, June 8vs NYY5.05433
Wednesday, June 3@ NYY5.36431
Wednesday, May 27vs WSH7.04312
Friday, May 22@ PHI8.011500
Sunday, May 17vs CIN6.07820
Sunday, May 10vs MIN6.061051
Tuesday, May 5@ KC6.07852
Wednesday, April 29vs TB7.79500
Friday, April 24@ TOR6.04762

Gavin Williams — FAQ

Who is Gavin Williams facing today?

Gavin Williams is hosting Chicago White Sox on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 79.7/100 on our outs recorded board.

What's Gavin Williams's projection today?

We project Gavin for 17.1 on the outs recorded board (home vs CWS). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).