Best MLB outs recorded matchups — Friday, July 17, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Friday, July 17, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP). His recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 3 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Projected Workload20.1 outs
Innings (IP)6.7
From recent starts8
How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).
Outs Line · O/U 17.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-190+135
BRBetRivers-150—
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-167+125
FDFanDuel-158+116
CZRCaesars-164+123
We project 20.1 outs vs the 17.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Outs Recorded Matchups — Friday, July 17, 2026
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) is the top outs recorded spot on the Friday, July 17, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 20.1 outs, with Troy Melton (DET) right behind. Every starter is ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP) — his recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) tops the Friday, July 17, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 20.1 outs vs MIL. His recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching.
The rest of the top of the board
Troy Melton (DET) (84) — about 18.1 outs vs LAA.
Jake Bennett (BOS) (80) — about 17.6 outs vs TB.
Bryce Miller (SEA) (77) — about 17.2 outs vs SF.
Michael King (SD) (76) — about 17.1 outs vs KC.
Bailey Ober (MIN) (74) — about 16.9 outs vs CHC.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 18.0 outs. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the outs recorded board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP) — his recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. We project a outs (IP) count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best outs recorded matchup today (Friday, July 17, 2026)?
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 20.1 outs against MIL.
What are the best pitcher outs (IP) props today?
The top projected starts on Friday, July 17, 2026: Sandy Alcantara (~20.1 outs), Troy Melton (~18.1 outs), Jake Bennett (~17.6 outs), Bryce Miller (~17.2 outs), Michael King (~17.1 outs). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the outs recorded score calculated?
Ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP) — his recent workload and how far into games he's been pitching. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected outs (IP) count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best outs (IP) spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
What the outs recorded board is
The Outs Recorded board projects how deep a starter goes — his projected outs. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number
It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
His workload and recent pitch counts.
The matchup difficulty.
The game script.
Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here?
Transparency board, and a key input to the team run model (how many innings the starter covers vs the bullpen).
How to use it
Useful for DFS (a starter who goes deep banks more) and as context; not a standalone edge.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
