MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Baltimore Orioles

Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: outs recorded at 72.9/100.

Today's top board
72.9
Outs Recorded · @ CIN
Season line · ERA
4.99
5-7 · 61 K, 1.31 WHIP
Games graded
15
this season, box-score final
Trevor Rogers
PBats LThrows LBaltimore Orioles
Outs Recorded72.9/100proj 16.7#6Walks Allowed67.3/100proj 1.9#9Earned Runs58.5/100proj 2.7#15Hits Allowed56/100proj 4.8#13Fantasy Points35.6/100proj 12.7#11Strikeouts28.4/100proj 4.7#18

Today's matchup

Trevor is at Cincinnati Reds on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 6 of our boards — outs recorded (72.9/100, #6), walks allowed (67.3/100, #9), earned runs (58.5/100, #15), hits allowed (56/100, #13). We project Trevor for 16.7 on the outs recorded board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Trevor struck out 7 over 6.3 innings, 1 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Trevor's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Trevor has 23 strikeouts in 30.7 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Trevor's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Friday, June 26vs WSH6.37510
Saturday, June 20@ LAD7.06102
Sunday, June 14vs SD6.04522
Tuesday, June 9vs SEA5.73631
Thursday, June 4@ BOS5.73511
Friday, May 29vs TOR6.03641
Sunday, May 24vs DET4.72442
Monday, May 18@ TB3.73872
Tuesday, May 12vs NYY4.03663
Saturday, April 25vs BOS1.72432
Sunday, April 19@ CLE5.05652
Tuesday, April 14vs AZ4.76941

Trevor Rogers — FAQ

Who is Trevor Rogers facing today?

Trevor Rogers is facing Cincinnati Reds on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 72.9/100 on our outs recorded board.

What's Trevor Rogers's projection today?

We project Trevor for 16.7 on the outs recorded board (away vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).