MatchWiz Plays
RBIs · Saturday, May 30, 2026

DET @ CWS RBIs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
17
Final
CWS
Chicago White Sox
CWS
Rate FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 68°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, L To R

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.162
Hard-Hit %14%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.396
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.270
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected RBIs0.488

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+236
BRBetRivers+220
MGMBetMGM+200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected RBIs0.478

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+197
BRBetRivers+188
MGMBetMGM+175

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.270
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected RBIs0.467

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.270
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected RBIs0.457

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+183
BRBetRivers+175
MGMBetMGM+160

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected RBIs0.446

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+178
BRBetRivers+170
MGMBetMGM+165

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.270
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected RBIs0.43

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected RBIs0.42

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+230
BRBetRivers+220
MGMBetMGM+200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.278
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected RBIs0.409

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L6–2
ERA4.25
WHIP1.39
IP76.1
H / K / BB76 / 63 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.270
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected RBIs0.399

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CWS CWS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.309
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected RBIs0.488

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

BRBetRivers+255
MGMBetMGM+250
DKDraftKings+242

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.394
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected RBIs0.478

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+198
MGMBetMGM+180
BRBetRivers+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected RBIs0.467

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

DKDraftKings+199
BRBetRivers+188
MGMBetMGM+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected RBIs0.457

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected RBIs0.446

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

MGMBetMGM+260
BRBetRivers+250
DKDraftKings+248

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.278
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected RBIs0.43

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

MGMBetMGM+290
BRBetRivers+260
DKDraftKings+255

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.265
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected RBIs0.42

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

MGMBetMGM+275
BRBetRivers+250
DKDraftKings+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected RBIs0.409

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs3 books

MGMBetMGM+290
DKDraftKings+273
BRBetRivers+240

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · RBI / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected RBIs0.399

A rough estimate of rbis to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 RBIs2 books

DKDraftKings+272
MGMBetMGM+210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.