Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Friday, July 3, 2026
Top rbis spot: Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero (TB) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Spencer Arrighetti. The righty is driving in runs at .172 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .413 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 18% of his trips. And Spencer Arrighetti has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Spencer Arrighetti. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (92) vs LHP Kyle Harrison: an elite bat at .166 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.143), hot bat.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (91) vs RHP Spencer Arrighetti: an elite bat at .163 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Owen Caissie (MIA) (91) vs RHP Jack Perkins: an elite bat at .187 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (85) vs RHP Tyler Phillips: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.080).
- Ryan Kreidler (MIN) (84) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: an elite bat at .182 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.158).
- Mickey Moniak (COL) (84) vs RHP the starter: an excellent bat at .153 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Manny Machado (SD) (83) vs RHP Shohei Ohtani: an elite bat at .160 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .208 against lefties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .194 against righties this year.
- Owen Caissie (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .204 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .167 against righties this year.
- Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .147 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
234 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.