MatchWiz Plays
Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATL @ MIA Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
93
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

ATL ATL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.326
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.258
Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.278
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.544

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.318
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.532

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+110
BRBetRivers-106
DKDraftKings-108

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.065
Plate Appearances31

Projection

Projected Runs0.521

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+110
BRBetRivers+108
DKDraftKings+106

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.314
Plate Appearances51

Projection

Projected Runs0.509

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

DKDraftKings+147
BRBetRivers+138
MGMBetMGM+135

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.363
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances26

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

DKDraftKings+166
MGMBetMGM+155
BRBetRivers+143

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.278
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.135
Plate Appearances37

Projection

Projected Runs0.48

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+150
BRBetRivers+150
DKDraftKings+132

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.278
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.278
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Runs0.456

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+180
MGMBetMGM+175
DKDraftKings+170

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.278
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.445

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIA MIA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %28%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.340
Hard-Hit %17%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.544

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+125
BRBetRivers+123
DKDraftKings+109

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.532

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+165
BRBetRivers+155
DKDraftKings+140

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.521

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+175
BRBetRivers+170
DKDraftKings+153

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Runs0.509

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+170
DKDraftKings+162
MGMBetMGM+155

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+190
DKDraftKings+181
MGMBetMGM+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.274
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Runs0.48

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+200
DKDraftKings+194
BRBetRivers+188

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.456

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA5.31
WHIP1.36
IP39.0
H / K / BB33 / 46 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Runs0.445

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+210
BRBetRivers+200
DKDraftKings+174

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.