TB @ MIA Runs matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

3–4

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

TB Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.301

Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.232

Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.544

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.381

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.532

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+100

DKDraftKings-104

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.521

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

DKDraftKings+106

MGMBetMGM+105

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~1.8× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.509

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

DKDraftKings+173

MGMBetMGM+165

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs1 book

DKDraftKings+171

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.48

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+160

DKDraftKings+146

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+165

DKDraftKings+165

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.456

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

W–L0–0

ERA3.04

WHIP1.01

IP44.1

H / K / BB28 / 48 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Runs0.445

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.187

Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

wOBA allowed.251

Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.270

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.544

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+130

DKDraftKings+130

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.270

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.532

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+140

DKDraftKings+137

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.288

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.288

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.521

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

DKDraftKings+163

MGMBetMGM+155

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.288

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.509

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.270

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

DKDraftKings+176

MGMBetMGM+175

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.270

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.48

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+188

DKDraftKings+172

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.270

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

DKDraftKings+222

MGMBetMGM+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299

Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.288

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Runs0.456

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5

ERA3.30

WHIP1.22

IP73.2

H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.288

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Runs0.445

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Runs2 books

MGMBetMGM+270

DKDraftKings+218

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.