MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

CLE @ MIN Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

CLE
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
vs
7:40 PM EDT
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft

CLE CLE Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CLE's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 BF
Season.110219 BF
Last 2 Years.135704 BF
wOBA allowed.314
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 BF
Season.087160 BF
Last 2 Years.121630 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30vs TEX0
Jul 2vs CWS1
Jul 3vs CWS0
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.534

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Travis Bazzana's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 1vs TEX1
Jul 2vs CWS0
Jul 3vs CWS0
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.523

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kahlil Watson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 1vs TEX1
Jul 2vs CWS0
Jul 3vs CWS0
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.511

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Chase DeLauter's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 1vs TEX0
Jul 2vs CWS0
Jul 3vs CWS0
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.499

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Manzardo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30vs TEX0
Jul 1vs TEX1
Jul 2vs CWS1
Jul 3vs CWS1
Jul 5vs CWS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.087160 PA
Last 2 Years.121630 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.487

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gabriel Arias's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs SEA1
Jun 30vs TEX0
Jul 2vs CWS0
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.473

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cooper Ingle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30vs TEX0
Jul 1vs TEX1
Jul 3vs CWS0
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.462

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Daniel Schneemann's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs SEA0
Jun 28vs SEA0
Jun 30vs TEX0
Jul 2vs CWS1
Jul 5vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.45

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Patrick Bailey's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jul 1vs TEX1
Jul 2vs CWS0
Jul 3vs CWS1
Jul 4vs CWS0
Jul 5vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.110219 PA
Last 2 Years.135704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.29
IP88.2
H / K / BB76 / 102 / 38

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.438

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Steven Kwan's full player page →

MIN MIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 BF
Season.07396 BF
Last 2 Years.123251 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 BF
Season.125287 BF
Last 2 Years.105696 BF
wOBA allowed.333
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs COL1
Jun 27vs COL0
Jun 28vs COL0
Jun 30@ HOU0
Jul 5@ NYY2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.537

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Austin Martin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs COL2
Jun 27vs COL0
Jun 28vs COL0
Jul 4@ NYY1
Jul 5@ NYY0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.525

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Byron Buxton's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ HOU2
Jul 1@ HOU1
Jul 3@ NYY2
Jul 4@ NYY2
Jul 5@ NYY0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.07396 PA
Last 2 Years.123251 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.506

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kody Clemens's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ HOU0
Jul 1@ HOU1
Jul 3@ NYY0
Jul 4@ NYY2
Jul 5@ NYY0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.501

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Josh Bell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ HOU1
Jul 1@ HOU0
Jul 3@ NYY0
Jul 4@ NYY0
Jul 5@ NYY1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.492

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Royce Lewis's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ HOU1
Jun 30@ HOU0
Jul 1@ HOU1
Jul 3@ NYY0
Jul 5@ NYY0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.475

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Victor Caratini's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ HOU0
Jul 1@ HOU1
Jul 3@ NYY0
Jul 4@ NYY0
Jul 5@ NYY1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.463

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brooks Lee's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ HOU0
Jul 1@ HOU0
Jul 3@ NYY0
Jul 4@ NYY0
Jul 5@ NYY1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.451

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ryan Kreidler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 30@ HOU0
Jul 1@ HOU3
Jul 3@ NYY0
Jul 4@ NYY2
Jul 5@ NYY1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.125287 PA
Last 2 Years.105696 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.44

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luke Keaschall's full player page →