MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · SS · Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias

Gabriel Arias — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: stolen bases at 68.7/100.

Today's top board
68.7
Stolen Bases · @ MIA
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
29
this season, box-score final
Gabriel Arias
SSBats RThrows RCleveland Guardians
Stolen Bases68.7/100proj 0.1#12RBIs56.2/100proj 0.5#75H+R+RBI48.9/100proj 1.7#123Fantasy Points47.4/100proj 6.5#101Hits44.9/100proj 0.9#129Home Runs41.9/100proj 0.2#48Total Bases40.5/100proj 1.5#136Runs33.4/100proj 0.5#163Walks27.6/100proj 0.4#98

Today's matchup

Gabriel is at Miami Marlins on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — stolen bases (68.7/100, #12), rbis (56.2/100, #75), h+r+rbi (48.9/100, #123), fantasy points (47.4/100, #101). We project Gabriel for 0.1 on the stolen bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Gabriel is 5-for-15 (.333) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Gabriel's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 12@ MIA41000
Saturday, July 11@ MIA43010
Thursday, July 9@ MIN41111
Wednesday, July 8@ MIN20000
Tuesday, July 7@ MIN10000
Sunday, July 5vs CWS52113
Saturday, July 4vs CWS00000
Friday, July 3vs CWS10010
Thursday, July 2vs CWS41010
Wednesday, July 1vs TEX41010
Tuesday, June 30vs TEX30000
Monday, June 29vs TEX31111

Gabriel Arias — FAQ

Who is Gabriel Arias facing today?

Gabriel Arias is facing Miami Marlins on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 68.7/100 on our stolen bases board.

What's Gabriel Arias's projection today?

We project Gabriel for 0.1 on the stolen bases board (away vs MIA). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).