Today's matchup
Patrick is on the road against Chicago White Sox on the Wednesday, October 7, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — total bases (50.4/100, #35), rbis (37/100, #41), doubles (32.6/100, #31), fantasy points (26.7/100, #53). We've got him at 1.5 on the total bases board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.
Recent form
Patrick is 5-for-28 (.179) over his last 10 games, in line with his .218 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Patrick has 10 home runs and 19 extra-base hits in 284 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He bats from both sides
Patrick is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Patrick takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Patrick has recorded at least one hit in 47 of 91 games he's batted in — 52% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Patrick is hitting .232 at home (36-for-155) and .202 on the road (26-for-129) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
Against Chicago White Sox
Patrick is 1-for-11 (.091) against Chicago White Sox in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 11 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
His best game in the log
Patrick's biggest night was Saturday, September 26, 2026 at KC — 2-for-5 with 2 homers, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Patrick a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 102 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Patrick was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 50.4/100 while stolen bases came in at 5.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Patrick and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Patrick specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.