MatchWiz Plays
Stolen Bases · Thursday, June 4, 2026

CLE @ NYY Stolen Bases matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

CLE
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
12
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft 87°F SunnyWind 3 mph, Out To LF

CLE CLE Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.454
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.229
Hard-Hit %23%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.058

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.233
Plate Appearances60

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.058

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases4 books

FANFanatics+360
MGMBetMGM+333
DKDraftKings+303
FDFanDuel+290

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.057

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases2 books

FDFanDuel+2000
MGMBetMGM+1450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.278
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.054

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

FDFanDuel+640
DKDraftKings+610
MGMBetMGM+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.054

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

DKDraftKings+610
MGMBetMGM+575
FDFanDuel+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.051

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

MGMBetMGM+725
FDFanDuel+680
DKDraftKings+610

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases2 books

MGMBetMGM+1500
FDFanDuel+1200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.048

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

FDFanDuel+630
MGMBetMGM+600
DKDraftKings+558

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

NYY NYY Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.323
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.386
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.058

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases2 books

MGMBetMGM+1150
FDFanDuel+920

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.373
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.057

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases2 books

MGMBetMGM+1400
FDFanDuel+1200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.276
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.057

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases1 book

FDFanDuel+1280

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.054

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

MGMBetMGM+775
DKDraftKings+650
FDFanDuel+640

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

MGMBetMGM+425
DKDraftKings+379
FDFanDuel+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.052

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

MGMBetMGM+250
DKDraftKings+238
FDFanDuel+235

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases2 books

FDFanDuel+1500
MGMBetMGM+1250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases1 book

FDFanDuel+1200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–6
ERA4.18
WHIP1.36
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 70 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.348
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.048

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Stolen Bases3 books

MGMBetMGM+625
DKDraftKings+600
FDFanDuel+580

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.