MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Stolen Bases · Friday, July 3, 2026

TB @ HOU Stolen Bases matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
8:15 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft

TB TB Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.004247 PA
Last 2 Years.004921 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.046

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.008

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.000248 PA
Last 2 Years.000651 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.352
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.043

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.000261 PA
Last 2 Years.008870 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.045

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.01565 PA
Last 2 Years.01191 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ1
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA
Season.073220 PA
Last 2 Years.095548 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.088

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.043209 PA
Last 2 Years.054778 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Stolen Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.066

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.055146 PA
Last 2 Years.058522 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Stolen Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.065

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.035174 PA
Last 2 Years.054275 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.055

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.000101 PA
Last 2 Years.005196 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.04

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

HOU HOU Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from HOU's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.298
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.301
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00049 PA
Season.005207 PA
Last 2 Years.018981 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head9-for-33

Stolen Bases0 in 34 PA
Career Average.265
Plate Appearances34
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.063

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.008

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00051 PA
Season.000281 PA
Last 2 Years.003640 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.007

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00053 PA
Season.000264 PA
Last 2 Years.000863 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-9

Stolen Bases0 in 10 PA
Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.007

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.000282 PA
Last 2 Years.001921 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-12

Stolen Bases0 in 13 PA
Career Average.462
Plate Appearances13
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.033246 PA
Last 2 Years.020602 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.066

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.01195 PA
Last 2 Years.019214 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.056

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.000107 PA
Last 2 Years.001796 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Stolen Bases0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.048

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.006346 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.051

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.