MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Stolen Bases · Friday, July 3, 2026

NYM @ ATL Stolen Bases matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
vs
7:15 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

NYM NYM Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYM's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.327
Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.319
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.055

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.054

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26vs PHI0
Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.052

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.051

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.048

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs PHI0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Stolen Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.046

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

May 23@ MIA0
May 24@ MIA0
May 25vs CIN0
Jun 28vs PHI0
Jul 1@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.96
WHIP1.36
IP77.1
H / K / BB68 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.045

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATL ATL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.288
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.368
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.006159 PA
Last 2 Years.002510 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.043

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.005203 PA
Last 2 Years.022776 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.047

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.005199 PA
Last 2 Years.002973 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.04

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.016183 PA
Last 2 Years.027780 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF1
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-3

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.010194 PA
Last 2 Years.008625 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.042

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.000173 PA
Last 2 Years.004486 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.037

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.009220 PA
Last 2 Years.006715 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Stolen Bases0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.037

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.005198 PA
Last 2 Years.008851 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Stolen Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.037

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 3 GamesStolen Bases

May 6@ SEA0
May 8@ LAD0
Jul 2vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–0
ERA3.20
WHIP1.33
IP45.0
H / K / BB39 / 53 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.038

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.