MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Saturday, April 18, 2026

TB @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 18, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
87
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 81°F CloudyWind 17 mph, Out To LF

TB Drew Rasmussen · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-122-106
BRBetRivers-122-109
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-135+106
FDFanDuel-122-108
MBMyBookie-125-110

We project 5.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)27.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)19.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)23.9%3.0 PA
4Jake Mangum (L)19.7%3.0 PA
5Marcell Ozuna (R)23.3%2.1 PA
6Nick Yorke (R)19.7%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)18.6%2.0 PA
8Konnor Griffin (R)21.3%2.0 PA
9Joey Bart (R)25.1%2.0 PA

PIT Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline+118-154
BRBetRivers+116-155
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+107-137
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+104-138
MBMyBookie+112-156

We project 4.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)12.8%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)23.8%3.0 PA
3Ryan Vilade (R)23.4%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)14.1%2.3 PA
5Jonny DeLuca (R)18.9%2.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)21.3%2.0 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)20.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)19.8%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)21.5%2.0 PA