MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Saturday, April 18, 2026

DET @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 18, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
41
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 50°F CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L

DET Tarik Skubal · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-116-111
BRBetRivers-134+100
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-112-114
FDFanDuel-120-110
MBMyBookie-120-115

We project 5.6 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Roman Anthony (L)24.3%3.0 PA
2Andruw Monasterio (R)21.4%3.0 PA
3Willson Contreras (R)19.9%3.0 PA
4Trevor Story (R)21.9%3.0 PA
5Wilyer Abreu (L)20.0%3.0 PA
6Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.3%2.3 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)17.2%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)21.3%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.6%2.0 PA

BOS Brayan Bello · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB17.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOLBetOnline-118-110
BRBetRivers-107-124
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-119-108
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-114-114
MBMyBookie-120-115

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)17.7%3.0 PA
2Gleyber Torres (R)18.5%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)20.4%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)24.1%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)24.6%3.0 PA
6Kerry Carpenter (L)27.6%2.3 PA
7Wenceel Pérez (L)21.3%2.0 PA
8Javier Báez (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)26.1%2.0 PA