MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 2, 2026

CIN @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
717
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 43°F OvercastWind 10 mph, Out To RF

CIN Rhett Lowder · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+118-154
BRBetRivers+118-157
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+118-151
FDFanDuel+114-152
MBMyBookie+112-156

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)29.2%3.0 PA
2Jared Triolo (R)23.9%3.0 PA
3Jake Mangum (L)22.7%3.0 PA
4Billy Cook (R)25.9%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)17.2%3.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)27.6%2.1 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)15.9%2.0 PA
8Konnor Griffin (R)24.2%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.4%2.0 PA

PIT Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOLBetOnline-123-104
BRBetRivers-127-106
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-124-103
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-122-108
MBMyBookie-127-108

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Rece Hinds (R)26.0%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)20.0%3.0 PA
3Matt McLain (R)27.5%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)19.4%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)20.7%2.1 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.4%2.0 PA
7Will Benson (L)25.5%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)27.4%2.0 PA
9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.2%2.0 PA