MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 2, 2026

HOU @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
63
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 57°F OvercastWind 6 mph, Out To LF

HOU Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOLBetOnline+106-137
BRBetRivers+112-150
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+107-136
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+108-144
MBMyBookie+101-140

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)23.6%3.0 PA
2Willson Contreras (R)26.2%3.0 PA
3Roman Anthony (L)25.3%3.0 PA
4Wilyer Abreu (L)21.4%3.0 PA
5Trevor Story (R)25.1%3.0 PA
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.9%2.8 PA
7Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.8%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)19.2%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)15.8%2.0 PA

BOS Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-111-116
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-108-119
FDFanDuel-104-128
MBMyBookie-115-120

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carlos Correa (R)17.8%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.1%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)18.2%3.0 PA
4Braden Shewmake (L)23.3%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)20.1%2.5 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)19.3%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)29.4%2.0 PA
8Cam Smith (R)27.3%2.0 PA
9Dustin Harris (L)19.6%2.0 PA