MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Monday, May 4, 2026

MIL @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
36
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 72°F CloudyWind 11 mph, R To L

MIL Chad Patrick · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.1% K / BF

vs LHB18.0%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOLBetOnline-156+120
BRBetRivers-141+106
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-145+114
FANFanatics-150+115
FDFanDuel-160+120
MBMyBookie-158+114

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)20.6%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.6%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)17.2%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)27.2%2.3 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)27.5%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)21.6%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)23.2%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)22.2%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)27.0%2.0 PA

STL Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-143+110
BRBetRivers-132+100
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-126-101
FDFanDuel-138+104
MBMyBookie-145+105

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Garrett Mitchell (L)31.1%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)19.6%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)14.6%3.0 PA
5Tyler Black (L)22.9%2.7 PA
6Andrew Vaughn (R)21.0%2.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)13.4%2.0 PA
8Luis Rengifo (L)16.1%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)20.3%2.0 PA