MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Monday, May 4, 2026

PHI @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
10
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB26.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOLBetOnline+112-145
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+110-140
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+116-154
MBMyBookie+107-148

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jakob Marsee (L)22.6%3.0 PA
2Javier Sanoja (R)17.3%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)20.9%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)13.9%3.0 PA
5Liam Hicks (L)14.4%3.0 PA
6Christopher Morel (R)22.3%2.1 PA
7Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0 PA
8Esteury Ruiz (R)26.1%2.0 PA
9Connor Norby (R)29.6%2.0 PA

MIA Janson Junk · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-128-101
BRBetRivers-124-107
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-129+102
FDFanDuel-136+102
MBMyBookie-131-105

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)20.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)28.2%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)18.6%3.0 PA
4Adolis García (R)23.2%3.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)20.8%2.6 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)20.9%2.0 PA
7Alec Bohm (R)17.9%2.0 PA
8Garrett Stubbs (L)20.4%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)17.3%2.0 PA