MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Monday, May 4, 2026

BOS @ DET Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
54
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 72°F Partly CloudyWind 18 mph, R To L

BOS Payton Tolle · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.0% K / BF

vs LHB25.2%
vs RHB26.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+107-139
BRBetRivers+112-150
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+110-140
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+116-154
MBMyBookie+102-141

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Kerry Carpenter (L)24.2%3.0 PA
2Matt Vierling (R)18.4%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)20.3%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)25.7%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)22.8%2.6 PA
6Wenceel Pérez (R)20.4%2.0 PA
7Hao-Yu Lee (R)26.4%2.0 PA
8Colt Keith (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)28.9%2.0 PA

DET Tyler Holton · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.0 BF

Expected batters faced14.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+134-175
MBMyBookie+126-176

We project 2.8 K vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)21.1%2.0 PA
2Willson Contreras (R)23.3%2.0 PA
3Aroldis Chapman (L)22.0%2.0 PA
4Trevor Story (R)25.5%2.0 PA
5Wilyer Abreu (L)17.4%2.0 PA
6Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.1%1.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)20.9%1.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)20.5%1.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)18.6%1.0 PA