MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Monday, May 4, 2026

CIN @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
45
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 65°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

CIN Chase Petty · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB18.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+124-161
BRBetRivers+138-186
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+112-143
FDFanDuel+124-166
MBMyBookie+116-160

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)12.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Conforto (L)22.3%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)17.2%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)24.9%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)24.8%3.0 PA
6Michael Busch (L)23.7%2.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)20.6%2.0 PA
8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.9%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)20.3%2.0 PA

CHC Edward Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB17.1%
vs RHB27.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-108-120
BRBetRivers-121-110
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-111-115
FANFanatics-110-120
FDFanDuel-112-118
MBMyBookie-111-124

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Dane Myers (R)21.8%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)19.6%3.0 PA
3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.6%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)20.1%3.0 PA
5Blake Dunn (R)26.7%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)24.0%2.4 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)26.7%2.0 PA
8Matt McLain (R)26.1%2.0 PA
9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)21.6%2.0 PA