MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 9, 2026

HOU @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 9, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
13
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F SunnyWind 9 mph, Out To LF

HOU Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline+102-132
BRBetRivers-104-129
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+111-142
FDFanDuel+104-138
MBMyBookie-102-135

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Dane Myers (R)21.9%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)20.3%3.0 PA
3Elly De La Cruz (L)26.3%3.0 PA
4Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)21.5%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.3%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.1%2.8 PA
7Will Benson (L)28.0%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)19.5%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)24.1%2.0 PA

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.8% K / BF

vs LHB27.5%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOLBetOnline-161+123
BRBetRivers-148+110
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-144+113
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-146+110
MBMyBookie-162+117

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)17.4%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)18.4%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)20.8%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)26.6%3.0 PA
6Zach Dezenzo (R)23.8%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)28.8%2.0 PA
8Braden Shewmake (L)20.2%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)20.3%2.0 PA