MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Monday, May 11, 2026

SEA @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 11, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
31
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

SEA George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline-115-112
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings+103-131
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel+102-136
MBMyBookie-119-116

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)19.8%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)18.5%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)18.8%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)20.3%3.0 PA
5Zach Cole (L)24.2%3.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)27.5%3.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)27.5%2.3 PA
8Braden Shewmake (L)19.9%2.0 PA
9Zach Dezenzo (R)23.8%2.0 PA

HOU Peter Lambert · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.4% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-149+115
BRBetRivers-141+106
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-144+113
FDFanDuel-138+104
MBMyBookie-159+114

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Brendan Donovan (L)16.5%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)15.7%3.0 PA
4Cal Raleigh (L)28.4%3.0 PA
5Randy Arozarena (R)24.4%3.0 PA
6Connor Joe (R)21.2%2.1 PA
7J.P. Crawford (L)21.0%2.0 PA
8Dominic Canzone (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Cole Young (L)23.0%2.0 PA