MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 12, 2026

COL @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 12, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
13
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To LF

COL Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.1% K / BF

vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB17.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOLBetOnline-141+109
BRBetRivers-148+112
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-143+112
FANFanatics-140+105
FDFanDuel-138+104
MBMyBookie-144+104

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)27.9%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)20.1%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)24.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.0%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)17.1%2.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)25.2%2.0 PA
7Billy Cook (R)23.8%2.0 PA
8Konnor Griffin (R)24.5%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.1%2.0 PA

PIT Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB28.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
BOLBetOnline-103-125
BRBetRivers-109-122
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-120-107
FDFanDuel-112-118
MBMyBookie-121-114

We project 6.4 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Brenton Doyle (R)27.1%3.0 PA
2Jordan Beck (R)24.3%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)27.0%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)18.6%2.4 PA
5Tyler Freeman (R)15.5%2.0 PA
6Troy Johnston (L)23.5%2.0 PA
7Willi Castro (L)27.0%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.6%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)24.3%2.0 PA