MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 12, 2026

CHC @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 12, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
25
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 70°F ClearWind 6 mph, L To R

CHC Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+149-196
BRBetRivers+118-157
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+129-165
FDFanDuel+118-158
MBMyBookie+139-196

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)23.3%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)19.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.6%3.0 PA
4Michael Harris II (L)20.4%2.9 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)17.6%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)28.1%2.0 PA
7Dominic Smith (L)18.6%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)19.2%2.0 PA
9José Azócar (R)20.8%2.0 PA

ATL Grant Holmes · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+109-141
BRBetRivers+105-139
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+102-131
FANFanatics+105-140
FDFanDuel+112-148
MBMyBookie+101-140

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)11.0%3.0 PA
2Matt Shaw (R)21.2%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)19.2%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)26.4%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%2.9 PA
6Michael Busch (L)21.8%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)19.1%2.0 PA
8Dansby Swanson (R)19.4%2.0 PA
9Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.0%2.0 PA