Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, May 13, 2026)?

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.9 K against SD. A 34% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, May 13, 2026: Jacob Misiorowski (~6.9 K), Dylan Cease (~6.5 K), Parker Messick (~6.3 K), Shohei Ohtani (~5.9 K), Kyle Bradish (~5.8 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, May 13, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 62% — a +12% return.

Final · 0–7

NYYaway

BALhomeTop matchup70 Final · 2–4

LAAaway

CLEhomeTop matchup94 Final · 8–7

WSHaway

CINhomeTop matchup37 Final · 10–4

COLaway

PIThomeTop matchup45 Final · 1–3

PHIaway

BOShomeTop matchup34 Final · 3–5

TBaway

TORhomeTop matchup99 Final · 2–3

DETaway

NYMhomeTop matchup56 Final · 1–4

CHCaway

ATLhomeTop matchup66 Final · 5–6

KCaway

CWShomeTop matchup65 Final · 9–5

MIAaway

MINhomeTop matchup58 Final · 3–1

SDaway

MILhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–6

AZaway

TEXhomeTop matchup37 Final · 3–4

SEAaway

HOUhomeTop matchup59 Final · 2–6

STLaway

ATHhomeTop matchup47 Final · 0–4

SFaway

LADhomeTop matchup84

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate34.4% K / BF

vs LHB36.8%

vs RHB25.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Merrill (L)21.1%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.1%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)25.0%3.0

4. Bryce Johnson (L)24.1%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.6%2.6

6. Gavin Sheets (L)21.5%2.0

7. Sung-Mun Song (L)23.8%2.0

8. Ty France (R)17.8%2.0

9. Freddy Fermin (R)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-139+105

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-145+114

FDFanDuel-144+118

MBMyBookie-134-107

We project 6.9 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.8% K / BF

vs LHB29.8%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.6%3.0

2. Ben Williamson (R)20.2%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.6%3.0

4. Jonny DeLuca (R)20.3%3.0

5. Jake Fraley (L)23.9%3.0

6. Richie Palacios (L)22.3%2.4

7. Cedric Mullins (L)22.2%2.0

8. Hunter Feduccia (L)23.8%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+107-139

BRBetRivers-103-130

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-105-121

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+106-130

MBMyBookie-112-128

We project 6.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB25.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Vaughn Grissom (R)19.2%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.9%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)22.1%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)25.6%3.0

5. Oswald Peraza (R)22.7%2.8

6. Zach Neto (R)23.6%2.0

7. Yoán Moncada (R)29.7%2.0

8. Omar Martinez (L)22.0%2.0

9. Bryce Teodosio (R)26.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-106-122

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-111-115

FDFanDuel-104-118

MBMyBookie+102-147

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.8% K / BF

vs LHB25.4%

vs RHB27.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.6%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)9.7%3.0

3. Heliot Ramos (R)24.6%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)25.9%3.0

5. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.4%3.0

6. Willy Adames (R)25.5%2.5

7. Matt Chapman (R)24.3%2.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)19.1%2.0

9. Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-143+110

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-150+117

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-134+110

MBMyBookie-126-114

We project 5.9 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)18.4%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)21.3%3.0

3. Aaron Judge (R)27.9%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.4%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)26.1%3.0

6. Ryan McMahon (L)26.4%2.1

7. Spencer Jones (L)22.0%2.0

8. Anthony Volpe (R)24.4%2.0

9. J.C. Escarra (L)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-167+128

BRBetRivers-139+104

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-145+114

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.2%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)18.1%3.0

3. Ozzie Albies (R)12.5%3.0

4. Matt Olson (L)24.3%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)25.2%3.0

6. Michael Harris II (L)22.2%2.2

7. Ha-Seong Kim (R)20.4%2.0

8. Raisel Iglesias (R)22.0%2.0

9. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline+107-139

BRBetRivers+100-134

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+124-158

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel-102-130

MBMyBookie-120-120

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Derek Hill (R)25.6%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)30.8%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.6%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)26.6%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)25.5%3.0

6. Andrew Benintendi (L)25.1%2.8

7. Jarred Kelenic (L)23.5%2.0

8. Tristan Peters (L)21.1%2.0

9. Drew Romo (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BOLBetOnline+110-143

BRBetRivers+107-141

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+103-131

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+102-136

MBMyBookie-104-138

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jose Altuve (R)19.2%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)21.1%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)19.4%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)21.6%3.0

5. Cam Smith (R)29.0%3.0

6. Braden Shewmake (L)18.9%2.0

7. Brice Matthews (R)28.3%2.0

8. Zach Cole (L)27.2%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+132-177

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+130-167

FDFanDuel+122-162

MBMyBookie-115-125

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.2% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.2%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)19.7%3.0

3. Austin Martin (R)18.4%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)22.6%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)24.9%2.5

6. Luke Keaschall (R)17.1%2.0

7. Victor Caratini (L)21.0%2.0

8. Matt Wallner (L)31.2%2.0

9. Tristan Gray (L)23.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+127-163

FANFanatics+125-165

FDFanDuel+118-158

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.6%3.0

2. Dillon Dingler (R)22.3%3.0

3. Jahmai Jones (R)24.0%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)27.0%2.1

5. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%2.0

6. Wenceel Pérez (L)18.9%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)28.0%2.0

8. Zach McKinstry (L)19.7%2.0

9. Gage Workman (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BOLBetOnline-152+116

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-160+125

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-150+122

MBMyBookie-152+106

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.4%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.5%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)18.2%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)23.3%3.0

5. Tyler O'Neill (R)25.2%3.0

6. Leody Taveras (R)25.2%3.0

7. Coby Mayo (R)25.6%2.3

8. Weston Wilson (R)25.7%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-147+113

BRBetRivers-152+114

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-144+113

FDFanDuel-146+110

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.5% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Angel Martínez (R)18.6%3.0

2. José Ramírez (R)16.1%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)18.3%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)22.4%3.0

5. Petey Halpin (L)21.7%3.0

6. Travis Bazzana (L)21.5%2.3

7. Daniel Schneemann (L)27.6%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)19.6%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)17.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline-103-125

BRBetRivers-110-121

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-106-120

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel-104-128

MBMyBookie-112-128

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Mookie Betts (R)19.0%3.0

2. Will Smith (R)22.9%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.1%3.0

4. Andy Pages (R)20.8%3.0

5. Kyle Tucker (L)20.3%2.8

6. Teoscar Hernández (R)21.5%2.0

7. Miguel Rojas (R)18.2%2.0

8. Alex Call (R)18.4%2.0

9. Santiago Espinal (R)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BOLBetOnline-123-105

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-132+103

FDFanDuel-138+104

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB25.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.1 BF

Expected batters faced20.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.0%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)22.0%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)18.6%2.1

4. Jordan Walker (R)25.8%2.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)29.3%2.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.3%2.0

7. Nathan Church (L)22.3%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)24.8%2.0

9. José Fermín (R)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-119-109

BRBetRivers-121-110

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-123-103

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-115-105

MBMyBookie-118-121

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Chourio (R)19.9%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)19.9%3.0

3. William Contreras (R)13.8%3.0

4. Jake Bauers (L)23.6%3.0

5. Andrew Vaughn (R)22.5%2.8

6. Blake Perkins (L)25.5%2.0

7. Luis Rengifo (L)16.4%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)12.9%2.0

9. Gary Sánchez (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOLBetOnline+128-167

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+121-155

FANFanatics+120-160

FDFanDuel+114-152

MBMyBookie+103-148

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willi Castro (L)27.2%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)23.3%3.0

3. Tyler Freeman (R)16.0%3.0

4. TJ Rumfield (L)18.9%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)23.7%3.0

6. Kyle Karros (R)24.3%2.1

7. Brenton Doyle (R)27.1%2.0

8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.8%2.0

9. Brett Sullivan (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-132+102

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-135+106

FDFanDuel-132+108

MBMyBookie-159+110

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.0% K / BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)24.6%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)17.8%3.0

3. MJ Melendez (L)22.4%3.0

4. Mark Vientos (R)20.0%3.0

5. Marcus Semien (R)20.5%3.0

6. Brett Baty (L)24.9%2.7

7. Tyrone Taylor (R)22.1%2.0

8. A.J. Ewing (L)21.6%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-167+128

BRBetRivers-157+117

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-159+124

FDFanDuel-158+118

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Dane Myers (R)21.1%3.0

2. Elly De La Cruz (L)26.2%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)21.2%3.0

4. JJ Bleday (L)18.4%3.0

5. Spencer Steer (R)21.9%2.5

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)26.2%2.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)24.9%2.0

8. Blake Dunn (R)20.8%2.0

9. Matt McLain (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOLBetOnline-111-116

BRBetRivers-132+100

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-130+102

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-122-108

MBMyBookie-131-109

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)23.1%3.0

2. Brandon Nimmo (L)19.0%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)22.1%3.0

4. Josh Jung (R)19.7%2.9

5. Evan Carter (L)19.9%2.0

6. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.2%2.0

7. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.3%2.0

8. Jake Burger (R)24.0%2.0

9. Danny Jansen (R)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-130+101

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-136+107

FDFanDuel-130-102

MBMyBookie-144+100

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shea Langeliers (R)20.9%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)29.8%3.0

3. Lawrence Butler (L)24.4%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)26.9%3.0

5. Henry Bolte (R)22.0%2.7

6. Jonah Heim (R)18.5%2.0

7. Zack Gelof (R)25.1%2.0

8. Darell Hernaiz (R)21.5%2.0

9. Michael Stefanic (R)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+110-143

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-101-126

FDFanDuel-102-130

MBMyBookie-121-118

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.5% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)24.4%3.0

2. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.7%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.1%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)27.3%3.0

5. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.7%2.5

6. Trevor Story (R)30.0%2.0

7. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.7%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)24.6%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)16.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+129-166

FDFanDuel+120-158

MBMyBookie+110-159

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)27.9%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)19.3%3.0

3. Jorbit Vivas (L)18.8%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)22.8%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)21.3%2.8

6. Daylen Lile (L)21.8%2.0

7. Joey Wiemer (R)26.9%2.0

8. Luis García Jr. (L)21.0%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-106-122

BRBetRivers+100-132

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-103-124

FDFanDuel+100-122

MBMyBookie-112-128

We project 4.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.0% K / BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.8%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.7%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)15.7%3.0

4. Brendan Donovan (L)15.2%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)23.1%2.1

6. Connor Joe (R)20.9%2.0

7. Rob Refsnyder (R)23.2%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)21.1%2.0

9. Mitch Garver (R)28.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOLBetOnline+128-167

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+115-147

FANFanatics+125-165

FDFanDuel+122-150

MBMyBookie+110-159

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)19.7%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.5%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)18.2%3.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)20.2%2.9

5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.2%2.0

6. Jorge Barrosa (L)26.9%2.0

7. Jose Fernandez (R)22.6%2.0

8. Gabriel Moreno (R)23.2%2.0

9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-123-105

BRBetRivers-129-104

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-119-107

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-120-102

MBMyBookie-125-115

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)27.7%3.0

2. Bryce Harper (L)17.6%3.0

3. Adolis García (R)23.0%3.0

4. Trea Turner (R)22.5%2.6

5. Alec Bohm (R)16.2%2.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)21.6%2.0

7. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.4%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)21.0%2.0

9. Edmundo Sosa (R)19.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+107-139

BRBetRivers+104-137

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+101-129

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+102-124

MBMyBookie-116-124

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.5% K / BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)11.0%3.0

2. Moisés Ballesteros (L)19.6%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)18.9%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)27.0%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%3.0

6. Michael Busch (L)20.8%2.5

7. Michael Conforto (L)23.6%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.8%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+133-180

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+118-150

FDFanDuel+128-158

MBMyBookie+115-166

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)18.2%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.5%3.0

3. Jac Caglianone (L)23.8%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.6%3.0

5. Nick Loftin (R)18.5%2.3

6. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)24.6%2.0

7. Starling Marte (R)21.9%2.0

8. Isaac Collins (R)25.9%2.0

9. Carter Jensen (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+124-158

FDFanDuel+120-148

MBMyBookie+117-169

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB15.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)28.8%3.0

2. Konnor Griffin (R)25.7%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)21.3%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.0%3.0

5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.1%2.2

6. Nick Gonzales (R)22.8%2.0

7. Brandon Lowe (L)25.1%2.0

8. Spencer Horwitz (L)20.6%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-118-110

BRBetRivers+102-134

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-125-102

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-106-125

MBMyBookie-121-118

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.9 BF

Expected batters faced14.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)20.5%2.0

2. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)15.4%2.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)28.1%2.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)22.5%2.0

6. Myles Straw (R)16.4%1.9

7. Ernie Clement (R)12.1%1.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)19.3%1.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)22.1%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BOLBetOnline-152+116

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-150+118

FDFanDuel-148+112

MBMyBookie-150+104

We project 3.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.5% K / BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB14.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Xavier Edwards (L)14.3%3.0

2. Liam Hicks (L)14.3%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)19.5%3.0

4. Esteury Ruiz (R)25.9%3.0

5. Connor Norby (R)28.6%2.7

6. Jakob Marsee (L)24.4%2.0

7. Leo Jiménez (R)19.6%2.0

8. Owen Caissie (L)28.6%2.0

9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-114-114

BRBetRivers-106-125

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-106-121

FDFanDuel-108-112

MBMyBookie-122-117

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, May 13, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.9 K, with Dylan Cease (TOR) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Jacob Misiorowski

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.9 K against SD. He's missing bats at a 34% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and SD has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Dylan Cease (TOR) (99) — about 6.5 K vs TB: a 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Parker Messick (CLE) (94) — about 6.3 K vs LAA: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (84) — about 5.9 K vs SF: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Kyle Bradish (BAL) (70) — about 5.8 K vs NYY: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Shota Imanaga (CHC) (66) — about 5.4 K vs ATL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

CWS is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Seth Lugo is the arm to exploit it (65).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Parker Messick is the arm to exploit it (94).
PIT is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jose Quintana is the arm to exploit it (11).
BAL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Max Fried is the arm to exploit it (54).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.8 strikeouts. Top play Jacob Misiorowski punched out 10. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, May 13, 2026)?: Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.9 K against SD. A 34% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, May 13, 2026: Jacob Misiorowski (~6.9 K), Dylan Cease (~6.5 K), Parker Messick (~6.3 K), Shohei Ohtani (~5.9 K), Kyle Bradish (~5.8 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Wednesday, May 13, 2026?: Jacob Misiorowski punched out 10.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.