MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Friday, May 15, 2026

PHI @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
119
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.0% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB25.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-109-119
BRBetRivers+102-136
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings-113-113
FDFanDuel+100-132

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)20.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)23.1%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.2%3.0 PA
5Marcell Ozuna (R)25.2%2.9 PA
6Nick Gonzales (R)16.9%2.0 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)25.4%2.0 PA
8Endy Rodríguez (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)21.4%2.0 PA

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.4% K / BF

vs LHB27.1%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOLBetOnline-114-114
BRBetRivers-113-118
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-109-117
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-115-105

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)23.1%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)28.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)18.0%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)15.8%3.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)19.0%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)20.1%2.4 PA
7Rafael Marchán (L)21.4%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)21.0%2.0 PA
9Adolis García (R)25.1%2.0 PA