MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Friday, May 15, 2026

AZ @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
91
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 80°F CloudyWind 4 mph, In From CF

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.5%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-102-127
BRBetRivers+102-136
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings-106-120
FDFanDuel-102-130

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Edouard Julien (L)26.0%3.0 PA
2Mickey Moniak (L)22.3%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)27.2%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)18.9%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)22.6%3.0 PA
6Jake McCarthy (L)17.8%2.7 PA
7Willi Castro (L)27.0%2.0 PA
8Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)22.9%2.0 PA

COL Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+134-175
BRBetRivers+130-177
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-162
FANFanatics+125-165
FDFanDuel+134-164

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)19.3%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)20.5%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (R)15.0%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)19.2%2.3 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (R)14.4%2.0 PA
6Tim Tawa (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)21.9%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)24.4%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)20.3%2.0 PA